
In Reply to: Re: Suicide Statistics posted by Statistician on May 12, 2005 at 11:58:33:
The data is based on suicides/100k/year. It is the per year part that is important. My 2 per 100k is per year. Your calculations are correct only if your cohort does not change and it is for the entire period in question (i.e. 20 years).
As for the five children per couple: That was just a random guess. I have no idea what the actual number is. I assume the average is much lower and that this would only make the suicide statistics higher. I would find it difficult to believe that every FGA that ever joined (3,688) married at least one other FGA and they all had on average five children. I know plenty of FGAs that have never had a child, some that have had many more than five (as many as 15!), and plenty that had only two or three children. I was attempting to be generous towards Borowick's numbers (or conservative with my estimates).
Some of my assumptions were taken directly from our statistics page (http://www.xfamily.org/index.php/Statistics). These are data taken from TFI publications.
In any case, I really just threw together these numbers with a simple calculator. I am, by no means, a statistician. In fact, I welcome any and all corrections. Eventually, I would like to turn this into an article on our xFamily.org site.